ESPN’s computer model believes that Penn State has this game well in hand. The computer model gives the Nittany Lions a 78.6-percent chance to win this Saturday’s game.Michigan has won four of their last five games against Penn State, but lost the showdown at State College in 2017.Whoever wins this game will be seen as the biggest threat to Ohio State for Big Ten East division supremacy.The game will be played at 7:30 p.m. EST on ABC. STATE COLLEGE, PA – NOVEMBER 21: James Franklin head coach of the Penn State Nittany Lions congratulates Jim Harbaugh head coach of the Michigan Wolverines after the game at Beaver Stadium on November 21, 2015 in State College, Pennsylvania. The Wolverines won 28-16. (Photo by Evan Habeeb/Getty Images)Saturday’s Penn State-Michigan game has far higher stakes than in some recent years. ESPN’s College GameDay will be right outside Beaver Stadium for their show, and the rest of the country will get to see it in primetime.Penn State is undefeated at 6-0 and coming off a rare road win over a ranked team. The Nittany Lions defense is clearly one of the best in the country, and has yet to give up 14 points in a game. Quarterback Sean Clifford has been solid in his first year as a starter while running back Noah Cain has scored a TD in five games this year.Michigan has recovered nicely since their blowout loss to Wisconsin several weeks back. Granted two of their three wins have come against Big Ten cellar-dwellers Illinois and Rutgers, but wins are wins. The Wolverines have yet to truly impress this season, but a win over Penn State would speak volumes.ESPN’s computer model has released its prediction for the Penn State-Michigan game.